How Trump’s Escalation With Iran Could Become the Catalyst for Declining Political Support

The joint US-Israeli attack on Iran carries significant political risks for President Trump, potentially alienating his 'Make America Great Again' base, according to former Reagan advisor Steve Hanke. Hanke suggests that while Israel's motives for expanding influence are clear, the US's reasons are obscured by Trump's unpredictable policymaking, possibly influenced by strong lobbying from groups like AIPAC, which spent heavily in recent elections. Furthermore, Trump may be using the conflict as a distraction from domestic issues, such as the ongoing fallout from the Epstein files, which contrasts sharply with his campaign promise to be a "president of peace." Hanke believes Trump's interventionist stance is causing his popularity to deteriorate rapidly, with the November midterms serving as a key indicator. Economically, Hanke argues the conflict will not catastrophically affect US oil prices due to increased domestic production, though it caused a modest rise. He also suggests that attempts to disrupt oil supply to China might backfire, as China could retaliate by cutting off rare-earth minerals, severely damaging Western economies.

(Source：BeInCrypto)