Strategy (MSTR) Stock Jumps 33% on Revenue and Bitcoin Boost — Can the Rally Hold?

MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock experienced a sharp rebound, climbing nearly 33% since February 5th, driven by a recovery in Bitcoin prices and better-than-expected Q4 2025 earnings. The stock's movement remains highly leveraged to Bitcoin, reacting three times as much to BTC's recent 11% rise. While the company reported revenue growth in its cloud business, the net loss was attributed to non-cash accounting losses on its Bitcoin holdings, reinforcing its long-term Bitcoin strategy.

Analysis shows that while large investors have been quietly accumulating positions (indicated by a bullish divergence in the Chaikin Money Flow before February 5th, which has since moved above zero), short-term momentum indicators remain negative, suggesting bears still control the immediate pressure. Furthermore, the stock price has not yet reclaimed key technical barriers like the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which has historically acted as resistance.

The rally's sustainability hinges on breaking key resistance levels: $138 is the first hurdle, followed by the critical $150 barrier. A sustained move above $150 could signal real trend repair, targeting $189 and potentially $300. Conversely, a drop below the February low zone of $104 to $107 would invalidate the current rebound, potentially leading to a decline toward $82 or $56.

(Source：BeInCrypto)