Odds of Jesus Christ appearing in 2026 double, beating return on bitcoin

Traders on the prediction market Polymarket have seen the implied odds of the Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurring by the end of 2026 double, making the contract a better performer than bitcoin. The market, titled “Will Jesus return in 2026,” traded at about 4 cents on Friday, up from 1.8% on January 3rd, marking a gain of over 120% in just over a month. This surge contrasts sharply with Bitcoin, which has lost 18% this year due to various market pressures. Polymarket contracts function like binary options, where the price reflects the crowd's implied probability. While the contract's resolution relies on consensus from credible sources, highlighting its novelty status, the price action demonstrates how prediction markets with limited liquidity can experience sharp percentage gains from small buying bursts. The rally underscores Polymarket's role as a barometer for internet attention, showing that in a difficult year for major cryptocurrencies, niche prediction contracts can sometimes see gains.

(Source：CoinDesk)