HBAR Price Faces 30% Risk as TVL-Led Slump Deepens Without ETF Support
HBAR price risks a 30% drop due to declining Total Value Locked (TVL) and a lack of institutional ETF support.Summary
The HBAR price is under significant pressure, down nearly 47% over three months, driven by shrinking network liquidity, weak institutional demand, and fading retail participation. Hedera's Total Value Locked (TVL) has collapsed by over 50% since September, indicating that capital has been steadily leaving the network, which explains the gradual price decline. While the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) shows some selective accumulation by larger investors, this is offset by zero recent inflows into spot HBAR ETFs and a breakdown in the On-Balance Volume (OBV) trend, signaling deteriorating market participation and conviction.
The technical structure shows HBAR trapped in a falling channel since September. If the current major support zone near $0.080-$0.076 breaks, the channel projection suggests a potential 30% downside move toward $0.043. For any sustainable upside recovery, HBAR requires a significant rebound in TVL and consistent ETF inflows to break the bearish channel resistance levels.
(Source：BeInCrypto)