Bitcoin’s $150,000 forecast slash proves the institutional “sure thing” is actually a high-stakes gamble for 2026

Bitcoin price forecasts for 2026 range significantly, from $75,000 to $250,000, reflecting uncertainty over whether institutional demand can overcome softer retail participation and macro liquidity sensitivity. Standard Chartered notably cut its 2026 forecast to $150,000 from $300,000, citing a slower pace dependent on ETF buying. Other major projections include Bernstein at $150,000, JPMorgan at $170,000, and Tom Lee at $200,000, all largely banking on sustained institutional absorption via ETFs. The bull case hinges on these inflows absorbing available supply, potentially rivaling new issuance. Conversely, the bear case, supported by on-chain indicators suggesting a late 2025 bear market regime, targets $35,000 to $70,000 if demand falters amid tightening macro conditions. This broad divergence underscores that Bitcoin's 2026 trajectory remains a high-stakes gamble dependent on the persistence of institutional interest.

(Source：CryptoSlate)