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Crypto market structure bill could be delayed to 2027, with implementation in 2029, TD Cowen says

The Block
TD Cowen suggests the US crypto market structure bill might pass in 2027 and be implemented by 2029 due to political dynamics.

Summary

TD Cowen's Washington Research Group believes that while a path exists for the US crypto market structure bill to pass this year, political dynamics in Congress make delays more likely, potentially pushing approval to 2027 and implementation into 2029. A major hurdle is conflict-of-interest language Democrats want to include, which would bar senior officials and their families, including President Trump, from crypto businesses. This provision is seen as a "nonstarter" for Trump unless its effective date is significantly delayed, potentially past the next inauguration. One proposed compromise involves making the conflict provision effective three years post-enactment, which might require Democrats to agree to delay the entire bill by three years. The legislation aims to establish a clear regulatory framework for digital assets, but overcoming a Senate filibuster requires significant bipartisan support, giving Democrats leverage to delay passage until after the 2026 midterm elections.

(Source:The Block)