Polymarket Odds 21% Chance For Bitcoin To Hit $150K in 2026
Polymarket traders assign only a 21% probability for Bitcoin to reach $150,000 before 2027, despite analyst predictions of a bullish 2026.Summary
Prediction market traders on Polymarket currently assign only a 21% chance that Bitcoin will reach $150,000 before 2027, showing caution despite many analysts forecasting a bullish year for Bitcoin in 2026. The market shows an 80% probability for Bitcoin to hit $100,000, with probabilities decreasing for higher targets: $120,000 at 45%, $130,000 at 35%, and $140,000 at 28%. This caution might stem from the perceived end of the traditional four-year halving cycle pattern, which previously helped chartists predict moves. Conversely, analysts from firms like Standard Chartered and Bernstein predict BTC could hit $150,000 in 2026, with some, like Tom Lee of Fundstrat, anticipating prices between $200,000 and $250,000. This optimism is partly fueled by expectations that a new US Federal Reserve chair, announced by President Donald Trump, might lead to interest rate cuts, which has already boosted precious metals.
(Source：Cointelegraph)