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December FOMC minutes show why the Fed thinks calm markets can still turn volatile

CoinDesk
The December FOMC minutes reveal the Fed's concern that tightening short-term funding markets could cause market disruption despite stable rate expectations.

Summary

Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s December policy meeting indicated that officials were primarily concerned with the stability of short-term funding markets, rather than immediate interest rate moves. Policymakers noted signs of tightening liquidity, such as volatile overnight repo rates and increased reliance on the Fed's standing repo operations, suggesting that reserves in the banking system were approaching levels where small demand swings could strain liquidity. Concerns were heightened by seasonal factors, like year-end and springtime tax payments, which could sharply drain reserves. To mitigate this risk, participants discussed initiating purchases of short-term Treasury securities to maintain ample reserves, emphasizing this action is for market functioning, not a change in monetary policy stance. They also considered enhancing the standing repo facility to function as a normal backstop.

(Source:CoinDesk)