Bitcoin Faces a Race to Secure a Green 2025 Yearly Candle
Bitcoin is currently down 6% for the year, risking its first post-halving red yearly close, which could break the four-year cycle thesis.Summary
Bitcoin (BTC) is nearing the end of 2025 trading near $88,000, facing the possibility of its first 'red' yearly close since the halving, down 6.1% year-to-date. This outcome would mark a bearish post-halving record and potentially signal a structural shift, breaking the traditional four-year cycle thesis.
Analysts are looking for positive signs, noting a three-day bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence on key support, which has preceded past bottoms. Furthermore, some traders predict institutional capital reallocation in early January 2026 could trigger a breakout toward $100,000, as investors buy back BTC after tax-loss selling.
Experts emphasize that the yearly candle's closing color is crucial, with wicks beyond key levels being expected, but the final close determining macro insights for the new year. The yearly open around $93,500 remains a potential retest level.
(Source：Cointelegraph)