Kalshi launches research arm as debut study shows 40% outperformance over Wall Street
Kalshi launched Kalshi Research to share proprietary data, with its debut study showing 40% better inflation forecasts than Wall Street.Summary
Prediction market platform Kalshi has launched Kalshi Research, a new division designed to foster academic study of forecasting markets by granting researchers access to its proprietary internal data, positioning itself as a research hub similar to OpenAI or Anthropic. The company claims to hold the world's largest repository of regulated prediction market data. Alongside this launch, Kalshi released its first internal study comparing its inflation market forecasts against Wall Street consensus. This study revealed that Kalshi's forecasts outperformed traditional economic forecasts by 40.0% overall, matched or exceeded consensus 85.0% of the time one week out, and significantly reduced mean absolute error by 50.0% during volatile periods. Researchers from institutions including Harvard, Stanford, Yale, and the University of Chicago are already participating in the initiative, and Kalshi also announced the first Prediction Market Conference.
(Source：Crypto Briefing)