Short-term Bitcoin traders were profitable for 66% of 2025: Will profits rise in 2026?

Despite Bitcoin's negative year-to-date return and trading below $100,000, short-term holders (STHs) realized profits for 229 out of 345 days in 2025 (66% of the time). This profitability was less about the overall trend and more about the frequency with which BTC reclaimed its realized price, which acted as a sentiment pivot around $81,000. Periods above this cost basis led to sustained profitability, while dips below caused losses. A recent rebound compressed STH unrealized losses from -28% to -12%, suggesting easing forced selling. If Bitcoin maintains a price above the $81,000 realized price foundation, the late-year correction may conclude, potentially setting the stage for future expansion.

(Source：Cointelegraph)