Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis: Is Price Volatility Vacation Over?
Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility index (BVIV) has broken out, suggesting an end to its period of low price swings.Summary
Bitcoin's volatility, which had been low throughout much of 2025, is showing signs of increasing turbulence, as indicated by the Volmex 30-day implied volatility index (BVIV) breaking past its year-to-date downtrend resistance. Analysts attribute this potential rise in volatility to three main catalysts: the retreat of long-standing volatility sellers who were previously suppressing price swings via call overwriting; significantly weaker market liquidity following the October 10 crash, making prices more sensitive to large orders; and persistent macroeconomic concerns, such as U.S. political uncertainty and the Fed's stance on rate cuts. The combination of reduced volatility supply, increased demand for downside hedging, and structural liquidity issues suggests that elevated volatility levels are likely to persist in the near term.
(Source：CoinDesk)